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GitLab (GTLB): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q2 Earnings?

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What a time it’s been for GitLab. In the past six months alone, the company’s stock price has increased by a massive 107%, reaching $46.82 per share. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is now still a good time to buy GTLB? Or are investors being too optimistic? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does GTLB Stock Spark Debate?

With its all-remote workforce pioneering a new approach to software development, GitLab (NASDAQ: GTLB) provides a single-application DevSecOps platform that helps development, operations, and security teams collaborate to build, secure, and deploy software faster.

Two Things to Like:

1. ARR Surges as Recurring Revenue Flows In

While reported revenue for a software company can include low-margin items like implementation fees, annual recurring revenue (ARR) is a sum of the next 12 months of contracted revenue purely from software subscriptions, or the high-margin, predictable revenue streams that make SaaS businesses so valuable.

GitLab’s ARR punched in at $1.09 billion in Q2, and over the last four quarters, its year-on-year growth averaged 23.3%. This performance was fantastic and shows that customers are willing to take multi-year bets on the company’s technology. Its growth also makes GitLab a more predictable business, a tailwind for its valuation as investors typically prefer businesses with recurring revenue. GitLab Annual Recurring Revenue

2. Elite Gross Margin Powers Best-In-Class Business Model

What makes the software-as-a-service model so attractive is that once the software is developed, it usually doesn’t cost much to provide it as an ongoing service. These minimal costs can include servers, licenses, and certain personnel.

GitLab’s gross margin is one of the highest in the software sector, an output of its asset-lite business model and strong pricing power. It also enables the company to fund large investments in new products and sales during periods of rapid growth to achieve outsized profits at scale. As you can see below, it averaged an elite 85.9% gross margin over the last year. That means GitLab only paid its providers $14.10 for every $100 in revenue.

The market not only cares about gross margin levels but also how they change over time because expansion creates firepower for profitability and free cash generation. GitLab has seen gross margins decline by 3.4 percentage points over the last 2 years, which is among the worst in the software space.

GitLab Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

One Reason to Be Careful:

Operating Margin Rising, Profits Up

Many software businesses adjust their profits for stock-based compensation (SBC), but we prioritize GAAP operating margin because SBC is a real expense used to attract and retain engineering and sales talent. This is one of the best measures of profitability because it shows how much money a company takes home after developing, marketing, and selling its products.

Over the last two years, GitLab’s expanding sales gave it operating leverage as its margin rose by 3.2 percentage points. Although its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was negative 8.5%, we’re confident it can one day reach sustainable profitability.

GitLab Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

Final Judgment

GitLab’s merits more than compensate for its flaws, and with the recent surge, the stock trades at 6.6× forward price-to-sales (or $46.82 per share). Is now a good time to buy? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

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