Financial News
3 Reasons KLIC is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
What a brutal six months it’s been for Kulicke and Soffa. The stock has dropped 35.3% and now trades at $32.72, rattling many shareholders. This was partly due to its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is there a buying opportunity in Kulicke and Soffa, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.
Why Do We Think Kulicke and Soffa Will Underperform?
Even with the cheaper entry price, we're swiping left on Kulicke and Soffa for now. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than KLIC and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints
Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Regrettably, Kulicke and Soffa’s sales grew at a sluggish 4.2% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the semiconductor sector. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.
2. Revenue Projections Show Stormy Skies Ahead
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Kulicke and Soffa’s revenue to drop by 8.8%. Although this projection is better than its two-year trend, it's tough to feel optimistic about a company facing demand difficulties.
3. Shrinking Operating Margin
Operating margin is an important measure of profitability as it shows the portion of revenue left after accounting for all core expenses – everything from the cost of goods sold to advertising and wages. It’s also useful for comparing profitability across companies with different levels of debt and tax rates because it excludes interest and taxes.
Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Kulicke and Soffa’s operating margin decreased by 16.4 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability. Kulicke and Soffa’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers. Its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was 1.9%.

Final Judgment
We see the value of companies furthering technological innovation, but in the case of Kulicke and Soffa, we’re out. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 19.4× forward P/E (or $32.72 per share). This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better opportunities elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at the most dominant software business in the world.
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