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3 Reasons to Sell CRMT and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

CRMT Cover Image

Since November 2024, America's Car-Mart has been in a holding pattern, posting a small loss of 1.2% while floating around $46.63.

Is there a buying opportunity in America's Car-Mart, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Why Do We Think America's Car-Mart Will Underperform?

We're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why you should be careful with CRMT and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Flat Same-Store Sales Indicate Weak Demand

Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at existing stores, and it is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

America's Car-Mart’s demand within its existing locations has barely increased over the last two years as its same-store sales were flat.

America's Car-Mart Same-Store Sales Growth

2. Low Gross Margin Reveals Weak Structural Profitability

Gross profit margins are an important measure of a retailer’s pricing power, product differentiation, and negotiating leverage.

America's Car-Mart has bad unit economics for a retailer, signaling it operates in a competitive market and lacks pricing power because its inventory is sold in many places. As you can see below, it averaged a 20.2% gross margin over the last two years. That means America's Car-Mart paid its suppliers a lot of money ($79.80 for every $100 in revenue) to run its business. America's Car-Mart Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

3. Short Cash Runway Exposes Shareholders to Potential Dilution

As long-term investors, the risk we care about most is the permanent loss of capital, which can happen when a company goes bankrupt or raises money from a disadvantaged position. This is separate from short-term stock price volatility, something we are much less bothered by.

America's Car-Mart burned through $83.06 million of cash over the last year, and its $868.5 million of debt exceeds the $8.53 million of cash on its balance sheet. This is a deal breaker for us because indebted loss-making companies spell trouble.

America's Car-Mart Net Debt Position

Unless the America's Car-Mart’s fundamentals change quickly, it might find itself in a position where it must raise capital from investors to continue operating. Whether that would be favorable is unclear because dilution is a headwind for shareholder returns.

We remain cautious of America's Car-Mart until it generates consistent free cash flow or any of its announced financing plans materialize on its balance sheet.

Final Judgment

We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of America's Car-Mart, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. That said, the stock currently trades at 14.7× forward P/E (or $46.63 per share). This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better investment opportunities out there. We’d suggest looking at one of our top software and edge computing picks.

Stocks We Like More Than America's Car-Mart

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

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