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Lamb Weston’s Q3 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

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Lamb Weston's third quarter saw a positive market reaction as the company reported results that surpassed Wall Street revenue and earnings expectations, driven primarily by strong sales volume growth. Management pointed to accelerated customer wins, especially in North America, and the early benefits of its Focus to Win strategic plan as key contributors to the quarter’s outperformance. CEO Mike Smith emphasized, “We delivered another quarter of strong volume growth,” attributing this to both innovation and enhanced customer-centric actions throughout the organization.

Is now the time to buy LW? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Lamb Weston (LW) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.66 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.62 billion (flat year on year, 2.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.74 vs analyst estimates of $0.53 (38.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $302.2 million vs analyst estimates of $254.1 million (18.2% margin, 18.9% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $6.45 billion at the midpoint
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.1 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.14 billion
  • Operating Margin: 9.4%, down from 12.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 1% year on year vs analyst estimates of 2.4% declines (140.2 basis point beat)
  • Sales Volumes rose 6% year on year (-3% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $8.83 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Lamb Weston’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Andrew Lazar (Barclays) asked about the rationale for restarting a curtailed production line amid industry supply-demand dynamics. CEO Mike Smith explained this was in response to strong demand signals and noted industry capacity additions appear delayed or canceled.
  • Tom Palmer (JPMorgan) questioned gross margin trends, especially international segment pressures. CFO Bernadette Madarieta clarified that most margin headwinds were linked to start-up costs and input inflation abroad, while North America followed more typical seasonal patterns.
  • Peter Galbo (Bank of America) inquired about the expansion of broker sales. Smith detailed that brokers would supplement, not replace, the direct sales force and focus on underpenetrated channels, with positive internal reception.
  • Max Gumport (BNP Paribas) asked how quickly new customer wins would translate into sustained volume growth. Smith and Madarieta noted some volume was pulled forward, but ongoing ramp-up and additional wins could drive future gains.
  • Steve Powers (Deutsche Bank) sought clarity on customer service metrics and operational improvements. Smith stated that while engagement scores had improved, there remain opportunities for further progress, especially via structural and innovative changes.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, our analyst team will monitor (1) the pace and sustainability of new customer volume ramp-up—particularly as additional production capacity comes online, (2) the realization of cost savings and margin improvement from both operational initiatives and lower potato costs, and (3) management’s ability to mitigate competitive pricing pressures in international markets. Any updates on tariff relief or regulatory changes will also be important to track.

Lamb Weston currently trades at $63.50, up from $55.69 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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