UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
October 3, 2002
(Date of Report)
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Commission file number 1-8957
Delaware | 91-1292054 | |
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
19300 Pacific Highway South, Seattle, Washington 98188
(Address of principal executive offices)
(206) 431-7040
(Registrants telephone number)
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ITEM 9. Regulation FD Disclosure | ||||||||
Signature |
ITEM 9.
Regulation FD Disclosure
This report may contain forward-looking statements that are based on the best information currently available to management. These forward-looking statements are intended to be subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are indicated by phrases such as will, should, the Company believes, we expect or any other language indicating a prediction of future events. There can be no assurance that actual developments will be those anticipated by Alaska Air Group, Inc. (the Company). Actual results could differ materially from those projected as a result of a number of factors, some of which the Company cannot predict or control. For a discussion of these factors, please see Item 1 of the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2001. The Company expressly disclaims any duty to update these projections, and makes no representation as to their continued accuracy in the event it does not provide such updates.
Third Quarter 2002 Estimates
Forecast | Change | |||||||
Q3 | Yr/Yr | |||||||
Alaska Airlines |
||||||||
Capacity (ASMs in millions) |
5,207 | 11.1 | % | |||||
Traffic (RPMs in millions) |
3,673 | 10.3 | % | |||||
Passenger load factor |
70.5 | % | (0.5) points | |||||
Fuel gallons (000,000) |
87.4 | 9.8 | % | |||||
Cost per ASM excluding fuel (cents) |
8.2 | (2.0 | )% |
For September 2002, Alaska Airlines experienced a 38.3% increase in traffic on a 33.5% increase in capacity over the same period in 2001. September 2001 traffic, capacity and load factors were adversely impacted by the September 11th terrorists attacks. Alaska Airlines operated approximately 76 percent of its normal flight schedule during the month of September 2001. Had Alaska Airlines operated its normal flight schedule last year, traffic and capacity would be up 5.1 percent and 1.4 percent respectively. For August 2002, RASM declined 3.0% as compared to August 2001. For July 2002, RASM declined 5.4% as compared to July 2001.
Horizon Air | ||||||||
Capacity (ASMs in millions) | 657 | 18.4 | % | |||||
Traffic (RPMs in millions) | 424 | 19.0 | % | |||||
Passenger load factor | 64.6 | % | 0.3 points | |||||
Fuel gallons (000,000) | 14.8 | 0.7 | % | |||||
Cost per ASM excluding fuel (cents) | 14.9 | (14.4 | )% |
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For September 2002, Horizon Air experienced a 53.9% increase in traffic on a 37.9% increase in capacity over the same period in 2001. September 2001 traffic, capacity and load factors were adversely impacted by the September 11th terrorists attacks. Horizon Air operated approximately 77 percent of its normal flight schedule during the month of September 2001, due to the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001. Had Horizon Air operated its normal flight schedule last year, traffic and capacity would be up 4.8 percent and 6.2 percent respectively. For August 2002, RASM declined 9.9% as compared to August 2001. For July 2002, RASM declined 12.5% as compared to July 2001.
Capacity and Traffic Estimates for 2002
Provided below are capacity (ASMs in millions) estimates for the full year of 2002.
Alaska Airlines capacity |
19,349 | 8.0 | % | |||||
Horizon Air capacity |
2,397 | 11.6 | % |
Other Financial Information
Cash and Short-Term Investments
Cash and short-term investments decreased $24 million to approximately $661
million on September 30, 2002 from approximately $685 million on August 31,
2002. This decrease is due principally to a purchase of a 737-900 aircraft by
Alaska Airlines on September 30, 2002.
Fuel Cost per Gallon
Cost per Gallon | % Change from Prior Year | |||||||
Alaska: |
||||||||
July |
$ | 0.77 | (14.9 | )% | ||||
August |
$ | 0.80 | (7.9 | )% | ||||
September preliminary |
$ | 0.90 | (6.0 | )% | ||||
Horizon: |
||||||||
July |
$ | 0.77 | (16.7 | )% | ||||
August |
$ | 0.80 | (12.1 | )% | ||||
September preliminary |
$ | 0.91 | (9.6 | )% |
Current fuel hedge positions for Alaska and Horizon are as follows:
Approximate % of Expected | Approximate Crude Oil | |||||||
Fuel Requirements | Price per Barrel | |||||||
October December 2002 |
40 | % | $ | 22 | ||||
January December 2003 |
35 | % | $ | 22 |
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Operating Fleet Plan
Provided below are estimated changes in the Alaska and Horizon fleets for 2002 - 2003.
On
Hand |
Estimated Change During | |||||||||||||||
Seats | YE 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | |||||||||||||
Alaska Airlines |
||||||||||||||||
B737-200C |
111 | 9 | | | ||||||||||||
B737-400 |
138 | 39 | 1 | | ||||||||||||
B737-700 |
120 | 16 | | 6 | ||||||||||||
B737-900 |
172 | 5 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||
MD-80 |
140 | 32 | (1 | ) | (4 | ) | ||||||||||
Total |
101 | 1 | 7 | |||||||||||||
Horizon Air |
||||||||||||||||
Dash 8-100/200 |
37 | 29 | (1 | ) | | |||||||||||
Dash 8-400 |
70 | 12 | 3 | | ||||||||||||
F-28 |
69 | 10 | (7 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||
CRJ 700 |
70 | 9 | 7 | 2 | ||||||||||||
Total |
60 | 2 | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||
Signature
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
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Registrant |
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Date: October 3, 2002 |
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-s- Bradley D. Tilden
Bradley D. Tilden Executive Vice President/Finance and Controller |
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-s- Terri K. Maupin
Terri K. Maupin Staff Vice President/Finance and Controller |
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